Putin has declared that the critical Black Sea grain export deal, will not be reinstated until Western nations address Moscow’s concerns regarding its agricultural exports.
Putin’s announcement, made during discussions with Turkish President Erdogan, has dimmed hopes of reviving the pivotal accord. That plays a crucial role in global food supplies, particularly in Africa, the Middle East, and Asia.
Russia initially refused to extend the grain export deal in July. Citing alleged unfulfilled commitments in a parallel agreement designed to facilitate Russian exports of food and fertilizer. Moscow argued that shipping and insurance restrictions hindered its agricultural trade. Despite achieving record wheat shipments in recent times.
Putin reiterated these grievances on Monday but left the door open for a swift return to the agreement if the Western commitments were met. Stating that Russia could rejoin the grain deal “within days.”
Erdogan expressed optimism about a potential breakthrough, revealing that Turkey and the United Nations. They initially brokered the agreement, and have collaborated on a new proposal to resolve the impasse.
“We believe that we will reach a solution that will meet the expectations in a short time,” Erdogan remarked during a joint news conference with Putin in the Russian city of Sochi.
International Response and Implications
German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock criticized Putin’s stance. Moreover characterises his approach to the grain agreement as “cynical” and attributing the continued deadlock to his actions.
The negotiations carry significant consequences, as both Ukraine and Russia are major suppliers. Including wheat, barley, sunflower oil, and other essential commodities for many developing nations. Data from the Joint Coordination Center in Istanbul indicated that 57% of the grain was from Ukraine. It was destined for developing nations, with China being the primary recipient.
While grain prices initially surged after Russia’s withdrawal from the agreement, they have since stabilized. However, this suggests no immediate crisis in the market. Nevertheless, a failure to revive the accord could have “drastic impacts” on countries like Somalia and Egypt. They heavily rely on Black Sea grain, warns Galip Dalay, an associate fellow at the Chatham House think tank in London.
Dalay also noted Putin’s dual strategy: seeking relief from sanctions while engaging in a “war of narratives” to avoid being seen as responsible for global food insecurity, especially in developing nations left in a precarious position due to Russia’s withdrawal.
In an apparent response to these concerns, Putin announced on Monday that Russia was on the verge of finalizing a deal to provide free grain to six African countries. Last month, he pledged grain shipments to Burkina Faso, Zimbabwe, Mali, Somalia, Eritrea, and the Central African Republic. Additionally, Russia plans to send 1 million metric tons (1.1 million tons) of low-cost grain to Turkey for processing and onward delivery to impoverished nations.